Downing Street Says » Immigration from Romania and Bulgaria

» Thursday, February 14, 2013

Immigration from Romania and Bulgaria

The PMS confirmed that government does not hold a forecast for the number of Romanian and Bulgarian immigrants expected to enter the country but that it has commissioned NIESR to look at the impact of the two countries entering full freedom of movement status which will be published in due course. He explained that it can be difficult to make robust, credible forecasts, highlighting the example of forecasts made in 2004 which were very wide of mark. He also referenced the Prime Minister’s recent words that it is only useful to make forecasts if they are credible. Asked to comment on whether the NIESR report would use a spectrum of estimates the PMS said that we would not pre-empt the NIESR report but reiterated that they were asked to look the impact, not make a forecast.

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